On Sunday, 2nd February 2020, I travelled to London Gatwick airport from Spain where I had been skiing with my former colleagues at city law firm Simmons & Simmons in the Pyrenees. I wondered how different it would be to arrive in the UK post Brexit.
Entry was as smooth as ever, only the look and feel was different; big notices displayed the Union Jack flag alongside the flags of countries which could enter with the same ease as British citizens.
In our GFOS podcast this week Episode 8 of ‘How to Keep your Money’ I interview Dr Christian Kalin CEO of Henley & Partners known as the ‘Passport King’. I ask him what it will be like for British citizens post Brexit?
For the past 47 years, British citizens have enjoyed freedom of movement throughout the countries of the European Union, not only for themselves personally but also for their businesses and assets. Now we are no longer part of the Club - what will this mean in practice?
For British citizens, as I discovered on Sunday, individuals like me, will continue to travel across the European Union as normal, until the transition period ends on 31st December this year, 2020. Post 31st December as Christian points out in Episode 8 of our GFOS podcast, British citizens may have to apply for a Schengen visa, but can then travel freely across all 26 of the Schengen territories. Holidays in Europe will NOT be affected.
However, if a British citizen wants to live in an European country and does not have a European passport, then he or she may need to invest in an European passport from either Malta, Cyprus or Bulgaria. These European countries offer citizen investment programmes on which Henley & Partners are experts.
For British businesses, as for British citizens very little will change during the transition period; UK-EU trade will continue without extra checks or charges, the UK will continue contributing to the EU budget and will still be bound by EU laws for the remaining 11 months - but it will lose its seat at the decision -making table.
Not much therefore will change for the remainder of this year. The UK will still be subject to the powers of the European Commission to investigate breaches of EU law in the UK and the European Court of Justice will still be able to impose fines. How true therefore is it to say that the UK left the EU on 31st January? Has anything changed other than the removal of the British flag from all over Brussels?
The real point of interest will be what effect leaving the EU will have on businesses post 31st December 2020. This will depend on the outcome of the negotiations between the UK and EU from now on.
Martin Territt of Territt Associates former EU Ambassador to Ireland made this clear in last week’s GFOS podcast.
In Episode 7 Martin says that if there is the political will, it will be possible for the UK and the EU to reach an agreement by the 26th November 2020 (the deadline EU officials have set to give time for the EU Parliament to approve the deal before 31st December), but the success of these negotiations will depend upon secrecy.
Although there remains considerable uncertainty for British businesses, and there is much talk about British businesses such as pharmaceuticals, car making and fisheries becoming isolated and suffering, there is also a lot of optimism. Many British businesses will see Brexit as an opportunity. Britain now has the lowest unemployment since 1974 and sterling is buoyant - so it cannot all be bad.
However, I am skeptical of the reports from the CBI which says that Britain has seen the greatest surge in confidence among manufacturers on record, and the IMF which predicts that over the next two years our economy will grow faster than that of any other major European economy. Is this surprising given that Britain has probably seen the deepest and longest period of uncertainty ever?
If you would like to find out more, Sandaire will be hosting the first of our GFOS Talks on 25th February 2020, 18:00 to 21:00; Wealth Creators Post Brexit. If you would like to register your interest to join us for this debate click here. Spaces are limited.
Samuel Bosanquet from global Multi Family Office Sandaire, will be joined by Dr Christian Kailin of Henley & Partners, Martin Territt of Territt Associates, the former EU Ambassador to Ireland, and the fourth speaker Setu Kamal leading tax barrister who will talk about tax and EU freedoms.
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